In the past, I’ve complained about the unequal point distribution between NHL games which has come into play with the new OT and shootout point being awarded to the loser. Instead of rehashing that point, I’m going to display a quick little study on a new format that I suggested, that being three points being allocated to winners of NHL games in regulation (and 2 points to winners in overtime or a shootout and 1 point to the loser of the overtime or shootout game). As of today, here are the standings with the current NHL point system.
EAST | GR | PTS |
---|
1. Buffalo * | 27 | 76 |
2. New Jersey * | 28 | 72 |
3. Atlanta * | 26 | 67 |
4. Montreal | 27 | 64 |
5. Pittsburgh | 29 | 63 |
6. Ottawa | 28 | 63 |
7. Tampa Bay | 27 | 62 |
8. Carolina | 26 | 61 |
9. Toronto | 28 | 60 |
10. NY Islanders | 29 | 57 |
11. NY Rangers | 28 | 55 |
12. Boston | 30 | 52 |
13. Washington | 27 | 52 |
14. Florida | 27 | 51 |
15. Philadelphia | 30 | 33 |
| | |
WEST | GR | PTS |
---|
1. Nashville * | 27 | 77 |
2. Anaheim * | 28 | 74 |
3. Calgary * | 29 | 65 |
4. Detroit | 28 | 74 |
5. San Jose | 28 | 69 |
6. Dallas | 28 | 66 |
7. Vancouver | 28 | 64 |
8. Minnesota | 27 | 62 |
9. Colorado | 29 | 56 |
10. Edmonton | 28 | 56 |
11. Phoenix | 28 | 52 |
12. St. Louis | 28 | 50 |
13. Chicago | 29 | 47 |
14. Columbus | 28 | 47 |
15. Los Angeles | 26 | 44 |
In the East there is a huge logjam in positions 4 through 9 and the New York teams have to leapfrog a couple of others to gain a playoff spot.
With the NHL system as it is, in the West, Colorado and Edmonton have a huge 6 point deficit to make up on Minnesota and Phoenix is starting to make summer plans.
Basically, the East is jockeying for position with a slight race. To correctly display how difficult it is to make up points in this system, I have followed Toronto, who has won 5 straight. Before their streak began, Toronto sat 2 points out of the playoffs (they were tied with the Rangers for 9th, but the Rangers had a game in hand). They won 5 straight games and now still sit in 9th, trailing by a point. Five straight wins and only 1 point made up in the standings.
Going further back, in their past 10 games the Leafs are 8-2-0-0. Ten games ago (
standings as of January 9th), the Leafs were sitting tied with Tampa Bay for 9th in the Conference, one point out of a playoff spot. Leafs win 8 out of their next 10 games and are still sitting in 9th, one point out of a playoff spot (they do have games in hand on the teams in front of them, but I think the point is that it’s hard to make up ground these days, especially when the teams you're trailing also keep winning or getting overtime losses points, I'm looking at you Penguins)
So I compiled a new system, with 3 points being given to a team that wins games in regulation time (with the current NHL overtime and shootout point systems in place) in order to balance the weight of games. With this came a new stat, Point Percentage. This stat is similar to winning percentage in other sports, as it shows how many of the total available points a team has obtained (available points = games played * 3 points). Needless to say this stat can only be created with all games being worth the same amount.
Here’s how it works; if the Leafs win 3 out of 6 games (2 regulation wins, 1 win coming in overtime and losing 3 in regulation) their point percentage under the 3 point system would be as follows.
(2 Regulation wins * 3 points) + (1 overtime win*2 points) = 8 points
Total points (6 games*3points) =18.
Point % =8/18 = 0.444
Now say the Senators win 2 out of 6 games but win both of their games in a shootout and lose 3 of their games in overtime (and lose their last game in regulation time) it would work like this;
(2 wins *2 points)+ (3 OT loss*1 point) = 7 points
Point %= 7/18 = 0.389
Toronto would have won more games, have more points and a better point percentage than Ottawa. Here lies, what I feel, is the flaw in the current NHL system.
In the current NHL system with (both teams performing the same as stated above), the Leafs would have obtained 6 points in those 6 games (3 wins) and the Senators would have obtained 7 points (2 wins and 3 overtime losses).
What is the goal, to win a game or to lose as late as possible? Under the current system, losing as late as possible is the way to go.
Here are the current NHL standings with the 3 point system in place.
EAST | GR | PTS | POINT % |
---|
1. Buffalo * | 27 | 100 | 0.606 |
2. New Jersey * | 28 | 96 | 0.593 |
3. Atlanta * | 26 | 86 | 0.512 |
4. Ottawa | 28 | 90 | 0.556 |
5. Montreal | 27 | 87 | 0.527 |
6. Carolina | 26 | 85 | 0.506 |
7. Pittsburgh | 29 | 84 | 0.528 |
8. Toronto | 28 | 83 | 0.512 |
9. Tampa Bay | 27 | 82 | 0.497 |
10. NY Islanders | 29 | 77 | 0.484 |
11. NY Rangers | 28 | 73 | 0.451 |
12. Florida | 27 | 71 | 0.430 |
13. Washington | 27 | 70 | 0.424 |
14. Boston | 30 | 66 | 0.423 |
15. Philadelphia | 30 | 45 | 0.288 |
| | | |
WEST | GR | PTS | POINT % |
---|
1. Nashville * | 27 | 108 | 0.655 |
2. Anaheim * | 28 | 103 | 0.636 |
3. Calgary * | 29 | 93 | 0.585 |
4. Detroit | 28 | 105 | 0.648 |
5. San Jose | 28 | 102 | 0.630 |
6. Dallas | 28 | 90 | 0.556 |
7. Vancouver | 28 | 84 | 0.519 |
8. Edmonton | 28 | 80 | 0.494 |
9. Colorado | 29 | 77 | 0.484 |
10. Minnesota | 27 | 77 | 0.467 |
11. Phoenix | 28 | 71 | 0.438 |
12. St. Louis | 28 | 65 | 0.401 |
13. Columbus | 28 | 64 | 0.395 |
14. Chicago | 29 | 62 | 0.390 |
15. Los Angeles | 26 | 59 | 0.351 |
The biggest leaps from the current system to the new one come from Carolina and Edmonton. Colorado (with a game in hand) could conceivably tie Edmonton for 8th if they won their next game in regulation.
I hope this goes to show how flawed I feel that the current system is by rewarding overtime and shootout performance more than wins.